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Thursday, 1 August 2013

Ways To Determine If The Market Will Trend Or Range

By Francis Johnson


In forex trading, it is important to figure out if the market is trending or ranging. This helps traders pinpoint their entry and exit levels for their trade setups. When the market is making higher lows, it means that it is trending higher. When the market is making lower highs, it means that it is trending lower. When price action is simply moving sideways between support and resistance, it means that it's in a ranging environment.

One way to figure out if the market is ranging or trending is by connecting the recent highs or lows of price action. When the highs of the price are falling and can be connected by a downtrend line, it means that the market is in a downtrend and that one can use the trend line or re-tracement levels as entry points and aim for lower lows. On the other hand, when the lows of the price are rising and can be connected by an uptrend line, it means that the market is in an uptrend and that one can use the trend line or re-tracement levels as entry points and aim for higher highs.

Note, however, that horizontal lines connecting the highs or lows means that the market is ranging. These can be used as boundaries for the range, as well as inflection points for entries. You can buy at the bottom of the range or at the support level then aim for the top or resistance. Similarly, you can sell at the top of the range or resistance and aim for the support or bottom of the range.

Another way to determine if a market is ranging or trending is to use technical indicators. The ADX or average directional index is commonly used to determine if the market is moving strongly in one direction or if it is consolidating. An ADX reading higher than 25 usually indicates a trend while a reading lower than 25 reflects a ranging environment.

If you are more comfortable with moving averages, you can also use these to determine ranging or trending environments. When the moving averages are arranged from lowest to highest on the chart, it means that the market is trending down. When the moving averages are arranged from highest to lowest on the chart, it means the market is trending up.

Lastly, Bollinger bands are also an effective tool in figuring out ranging or trending market behavior. These bands tend to widen if the market is trending up or down then it also tends to squeeze when the price is consolidating. In addition, the stochastic indicator is helpful when the market is ranging, as it predicts oversold and overbought conditions. An overbought stochastic means that price could bounce from resistance and start selling off while an oversold stochastic means that price could bounce from support and start rallying.




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